ncaa tournament 2023 predictions

Just like that, we've culled almost a third of the field without summarily throwing away seeds based on number alone. 5 seed. No. But in 13 games this season against teams outside the KenPom top 150, Houston's average margin of victory is 32.0 points. Houston still limits teams to just 56.5 points, and that defense will help them weather the first weekend. One-Sentence Synopsis: Playing in its first NCAA tournament game in over three decades, Howard merely has to figure out how to defeat the defending national champion. 4 Indiana over 5 Miami The South Region features the weakest two and four seeds and a three seed that is struggling late in the season. Baylor will need more than just Keyonte George, Adam Flagler and LJ Cryer in future rounds. Brandon Schlager is an assistant managing editor at The Sporting News. The impending matchup between the Vols and the Tide on Feb. 15 is setting up to be a blockbuster showdown for first place in the conference standings. 265 in defensive rebounding (Butler), they grabbed a combined 36 offensive rebounds. NCAA bracket predictions: Proven college basketball model has No one on the roster shoots better than 40 percent from distance, though, so we'll see if anyone can get hot. He could be extra motivated to have one of his best games of the season. With veteran guards, elite wings/forwards and a rim protector down low in Charles Bediako, this team lacks nothing. Grand Canyon Wins If: Ray Harrison goes off. 2 Texas over 1 Kansas, Ill be honest, I didnt set out to pick a National Championship game between Shaka Smarts current team and his former team. Could be a rude awakening trying to deal with the constant ball pressure of Malique Jacobs, Sincere Carry and Co. And Kent State went 20-2 this season when forcing at least 13 turnovers. 2023 NCAA tournament bracket predictions. Both teams play at an above-average tempo and have respectable offenses averaging at least 75 points per game. Sure. Sure, a little. Matchup: No. 2 Arizona over 15 Princeton, 1 Alabama over 8 Maryland If simple picks aren't your cup of tea, Mike DeCourcy has gone ahead and broken down all four of the bracket's regions for some in-depth analysis of the best storylines, most likely upsets and more. Meanwhile, SDSU's opponents have taken 40 percent of their shots from downtown but have made barely 29 percent of them. 1 seed to lose: Purdue (Sweet 16 to Duke) Final Four: Alabama, Duke, Texas, Kansas "Few teams will enter March Madness with as much confidence as Texas. In fact, the Gaels are seventh in the nation in steal rate on offense. 5 San Diego State vs. No. The Spartans enter the Big Dance having allowed the opposition's starting shooting guard to score at least 20 in four straight games. Kentucky Wins If: Providence's collapse continues. And UMBC as the 16 seed over Virginia not so long ago still cant believe I was lucky enough to be courtside for that one still baffles the mind. 3 Gonzaga over 6 TCU It's going to be a fun matchup between high-volume shooters who haven't exactly been a model of efficiency. Mercy. 8 Arkansas vs. No. The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the entire 2023 NCAA Tournament 10,000 times. Matchup: No. Written by D.S. That's bad news for overall No. If I Had to Bet on Something: Under 131.5. If Charleston can beat San Diego State which won't be easy they could offer a true test for Virginia in the second round. The one addition this time around isIowa, who has impressed in January with wins over Indiana, RutgersandMaryland. If I Had to Bet on Something: Over 153. All Rights Reserved. Shaka Smarts Marquette team is playing at an unreal level. Granted, they play at a much faster pace than GCU does, but even on a per-possession basis, it got ugly. But the Tigers have lost nine of their last 13 games, repeatedly struggling to gut out close ones. And the dynamic of this matchup would shift in the Wolfpack's favor if Creighton's big man is held to 10 points or fewer for the first time in over two months. Sixty-eight teams will start the first week of the tournament with hopes of making it to the championship, but. The Sun Devils put on a show against Nevada on Wednesday night, but prior to that, they had been held to 70 points or fewer in 14 out of their last 16 games and were ranked 134th in offensive efficiency. "A lot of teams that didn't make the tourney are more than capable of winning a couple games.". We won't judge either way. So many bracket. But if ever there was a game to let 'em fly from deep, it's this one against a long, tall USC team that ranks second in the nation in two-point defense. The Rams are our double-digit Sweet 16 sleeper, but the Jayhawks' fans will be ready for that one. The Tigers began the season on an eight-game winning streak,. 4 Connecticut vs. No. 16 Fairleigh Dickinson (East Regional), Details: Friday at 6:50 p.m. Jon Rahm +750 Scottie Scheffler +900 Rory McIlroy +900 Brooks Koepka +1400 Jordan . Colgate does a few things very well, but also has some major weaknesses. They are on opposite sides of the 2023 March Madness bracket, making them one of the trendy 2023 March Madness picks to meet in the title game. Feels like 13 could be the tipping point in this matchup. When the Tigers are hitting from outside five players hit at least 30, and two more made at least 15 they can beat just about anyone in the country (except Alabama or Kansas). That means it's once again time to break out the ol' Flagrantly Unscientific Natty Kalculator (FUNK) and determine with absolute certainty the only teams that can actually win the national championship in three weeks. Oral Roberts (Round 1 opponent: Duke -6.5). In theory, the Cougars figure to be throwing up a bunch of bricks. You can see the model's 2023 NCAA bracket picks here. Furman stars Jalen Slawson and Mike Bothwell returned for a chance at redemption this season after losing to Chattanooga in the Southern Conference Tournament title game last year. Missouri Wins If: It dominates the turnover battle. When it records at least 11 steals, though, Missouri is 13-2. It's Drew Timme's last run, and the pressure of not being unbeaten or a No. Maybe this is the year Gonzaga gets it together? 2 Texas over 6 Iowa State. Don't quite understand this total. 11 NC State (South Regional), Details: Friday at 4 p.m. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. Question is whether Grand Canyon will be able to get into the 70s. Houston devours its food. The Norse average 9.4 steals per game and could make things interesting if Houston has already set its sights on the Iowa-Auburn winner. Mar 12, 2023 With Selection Sunday for the 2023 NCAA Tournament over and done with, now the real March Madness begins. 6-keys: media/spln/collegebasketball/reg/free/bracketology, How will Indiana's offense evolve without Trayce Jackson-Davis? Tour de France 2023 odds, field, predictions, dates: Proven cycling Best, funniest namesfor your bracket: Trouble coming up with a clever name for your bracket? As far as effective field-goal percentage is concerned, Fairleigh Dickinson is the only NCAA tournament team with a worse defense than Iowa. But Creighton has a Virginia-like ability to contest shots without fouling, own the defense glass and limit opponents to around 46 percent shooting inside the arc. Didnt even think about it until after I went through the brackets and thought, huh, well thats fun.. 3 Xavier over 14 Kennesaw State Colgate Wins If: It catches fire and stays on fire. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. The first March Madness men's bracket predictions of 2023 - NCAA.com 2:36. Since 2005, we have seen only three point spreads of at least 30 points. This is an outstanding free-throw shooting team, so the more time they can spend at the line scoring points and keeping Alabama from getting into any sort of rhythm, the better. Alabama struggled in its final four regular season games after revelations about star freshman Brandon Miller's connection to a fatal shooting became public. If Wade Taylor IV and Tyrece Radford can draw some fouls against a backcourt with minimal depth and/or if Henry Coleman and Julius Marble clean up against a Penn State frontcourt with minimal size, that's a big edge for A&M. 12 Charleston to the NCAA tournament in his second season, and senior guard Dalton Bolton and Ante Brzovic a 6-foot-10 sophomore from Croatia are a tough inside-outside combination. (The offense can be awful as well if it isn't getting easy fast-break buckets after steals.) An old, experienced Memphis team could come out and just chop FAU down before it ever has a chance to get comfortable. In a game that will probably feature at least 40 free throws, it could be a rough afternoon to be on the under. 7 upsets happen all the time, but the No. Connecticut Wins If: It dominates the offensive glass. ET (CBS), Greensboro. If I Had to Bet on Something: Under 135.5. If I Had to Bet on Something: Houston -19. It shouldn't be a concern in this game, but it could be a problem at some point in the tournament. I'm going Houston to do what hasn't been done since 1972: a team winning the national championship in its home city (UCLA did it in '68 and '72). One-Sentence Synopsis: First-year head coach Jerome Tang hoping to bring Kansas State just its second first-round victory in more than a decade. 2023 March Madness predictions: FOX Sports writers reveal tournament CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: collegebasketball | pageType: home-feature | The Knights' only realistic hope of neutralizing Edey is running a full-court press for 40 minutes, hoping to force turnovers before Purdue can even get the ball into the frontcourt. Matchup: No. If I Had to Bet on Something: Penn State +3. 1 Alabama vs. No. 2 Texas over 3 Xavier. The line being this low makes sense. Only two of the last 18 teams to win the national championship did so without a shade of blue as one of its official colors. Kentucky should win somewhat comfortably. One-Sentence Synopsis: Kennesaw State has won 12 more games than it did in any previous season, but getting another win will be mighty difficult for the Owls. 16 Howard (West Regional), Details: Thursday at 2 p.m. Tennessee is 20-0 when holding opponents below 63 points and just 3-10 otherwise. NCAA Tournament 2023: B/R Expert Predictions for Elite Eight 1 seeds Kansas and Purdue turned in their uniforms sooner than they expected. Howard Wins If: It is raining threes and forcing turnovers. If I Had to Bet on Something: Marquette -10.5. Either Ellis or Tyson Walker will hit some big jumper with 20 seconds left to tie the game, and then the other will dribble out the clock before firing up a step-back three that doesn't even come close to finding its mark. If I Had to Bet on Something: NC State +190 ML. It's time to fill out your Big Dance bracket and crush your co-workers and/or . (The lone loss was an overtime game at San Jose State in which Boise choked down the stretch.). Gonzaga did not have a regular season that lived up to the standards we are used to from them. Best college players who never made the NCAA Tournament:Say hello to Ben Simmons, Noah Vonleh, Nerlens Noel, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and others who watched March Madness on TV. People were complaining about all of the fouls and free throws during A&M-CC's First Four game against Southeast Missouri State, but that's the way the Islanders like it. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. Montana State is just average in the steals department, though. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: collegebasketball | pageType: stories | 1 seed Alabama as well as Tennessee, Xavier and 16 others. Even after allowing buckets, the Wildcats often find a way to get down the floor and get a shot up in under seven seconds. Watch March Madness Live to stream every tournament game through the Final Four. 2023 NCAA Championship odds: Sweet 16 favorites to win March Madness Colgate leads the nation in effective field-goal percentage, and we all saw early in the 2021 tournament game against Arkansas or in the "third quarter" of last year's opener against Wisconsin what can happen when the Raiders' shots are falling. Men's NCAA Tournament 2023: 10 bold predictions for March Madness Lindsay Schnell USA TODAY 0:00 1:29 This is the season of madness, as they say, and what better way to prep for tip off. MORE: Print your 2023 March Madness bracket here, 1 Purdue over 16 Fairleigh Dickinson Texas has some interesting tests on the first weekend. It's no guarantee this team even reaches the Final Four, but it is the best candidate. 2023 Wimbledon odds, picks, predictions, dates: Proven tennis expert It's irrational, but it keeps happening. But I'm doing this, most of all, because Houston has rated as the best team in college basketball in every mainstream advanced analytic metric for months. It's just a matter of uncovering them. But if the Tigers can keep this game in the 60s or low 70s and make the Wildcats uncomfortable, settle in for a good game. LSU blew out Florida 18-4 in a winner-take-all Game 3 of the Men's College World Series finals, celebrating with a roaring sea of . Download Sporting News' printable NCAA Tournament bracket (PDF) by clicking here. In recent years, we've started off by immediately cutting out everyone below a No. March Madness bracket predictions: Expert picks, upsets, winners, odds Betting Cheat Sheet for Friday 8 Memphis over 9 Florida Atlantic Brandon Miller is a superstar, and the Crimson Tide lead the nation with 31.7 rebounds per game. Read the rest of The Sporting News' sleeper picks here. Iona Wins If: The defense makes a ton of impact plays. Baylor Wins If: The trio of guards plays well. All Rights Reserved. LSU beats Florida 18-4, wins the 2023 DI baseball championship. Arkansas' path back to the NCAA Tournament will be tough. MORE EXPERT PICKS: DeCourcy (Alabama)| Bender (Kansas)| Pohnl (Kansas), 1 Alabama over 16 Southeast Missouri State Your California Privacy Rights / Privacy Policy. Houstonretains its No. 6-keys: media/spln/collegebasketball/reg/free/stories, at If I Had to Bet on Something: Under 150.5. Updated Mar. 2023 NCAA Tournament championship bracket predictions: March Madness The Tigers do occasionally hit a groove, though, scoring at least 73 points in each of their past three games against Alabama, Tennessee and Arkansas. Women's First Round Odds and Lines Every national champion since 2001-02, the first year KenPom has complete efficiency data, has finished in the top 20. Eliminated:Purdue, Memphis, VCU, Virginia. Because it's early in the draft process, we'll allow anyone in the CBS Sports top 60 prospects -- projected to be drafted this year at all -- to qualify as a future pro. This is Duke's lowest seed in the NCAA tournament since 2016, but they feel like the team to beat around 7-footers Kyle Filipowski and Dereck Lively II. 2023 NCAA Tournament Bracket Predictions - Bracketology - College And while Boise State doesn't force many turnovers, it does have one of the most efficient defenses in the country and has gone 12-1 when holding opponents below 40 percent shooting. The Illini are terrible from three-point range as a team, connecting only 30.9 percent of the time. We're also breaking them down here. Saint Mary's Wins If: It dominates on the glass. March Madness predictions 2023: Bill Bender's expert NCAA Tournament bracket picks, Print your 2023 March Madness bracket here. ET (truTV), Sacramento. You simply don't blow out the Ivy League champion. The Wildcats are a perfect 12-0 when turning the ball over 12 or fewer times and went 1-5 in games with at least 18 giveaways. If you're flipping channels during the regular season, you will stumble across Drake or Oral Roberts, so the public is more familiar with these lower-profile schools," Salmons said. So I have my fingers crossed (all of em) for another shocking moment or two, but as I look at this years bracket, just not sure thats happening. If they were, it wouldn't be called March Madness. If I Had to Bet on Something: Arizona State +4.5. DraftKings operates pursuant to an Operating Agreement with iGaming Ontario. Boise State Wins If: Northwestern has one of its too frequent poor shooting performances. Thirty-two games over the course of about 36 hours. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. San Diego State Wins If: It can avoid the Mountain West curse. What's old is new again. One-Sentence Synopsis: UCLA looked good in the Pac-12 tournament without Jaylen Clark (Achilles) and should ease its way into the NCAA tournament with this late game in California. Gonzaga can beat anybody, and they win another classic with UCLA. Last year, the Razorbacks made the final eight of the NIT. This Kelvin Sampson-led club is the toughest, most well-rounded team in the sport and the most grueling matchup for opposing teams to boot. Purdue hasn't made the Final Four since 1980, and Zach Edey will test that front line. Midwest Region:Texas looks to be a class above in a region where the best team is dealing with a major injury, the third-best team struggles on defense, the fourth-best team is inconsistent and the fifth-best team will have a tough time escaping the first round. The views on this page do not necessarily reflect the views of the NCAA or its member institutions. Virginia Wins If: The transition D does its usual thing. Friday, 2:45 p.m. In the decade prior to that, there were 15 such spreads, including a 46-point line in 1999. section: | slug: ncaa-bracket-predictions-proven-college-basketball-model-has-surprising-march-madness-2023-tournament-picks | sport: collegebasketball | route: article_single.us | It's hard to believe that the 68-team field for the 2023 NCAA Tournament was unveiled over two weeks ago, yet here we are, ready to bring March Madness to a close. 6-keys: media/spln/collegebasketball/reg/free/stories, at Best Final Four bets: The Sporting News breaks down Vegas odds as well as our own projection model to come up with the most likely team to advance to the Final Four in each region. ET (TBS), Des Moines. ET (TBS), Des Moines. And which NCAA Tournament Cinderella teams will shock college basketball? Xavier has played in 14 games in which each team scored at least 76 points, and Kennesaw State has enough offense to make this the 15th such contest. 10 over No. ET (TBS), Des Moines. That exciting discussion is right around the . NC State Wins If: DJ Burns Jr. outplays Ryan Kalkbrenner in the paint. I mean, losing a guy like Jaylen Clark and possibly big man Adem Bona, too? Not quite. Baylor lost four of their last six games, which is going to make UC-Santa Barbara a popular first-round upset pick. If I Had to Bet on Something: Princeton +14.5. Kansas State Wins If: It keeps the turnovers under control. Indiana has not been to the Sweet 16 since 2016, so prepare for the bandwagon to fill up when Trayce Jackson-Davis leads a break-through run to the second weekend. While the program's handling of an off-court scandal has clearly been questionable, the team has more talent than any in college basketball. It is 0-15 in the past 15 tournaments, and the only one to lose by eight points or fewer was Montana in 2010, which kept things interesting against an egregiously overrated New Mexico team. Betting Tips for Women's Tourney The Connecticut offense is good enough on the first shot, so giving it second and third chances is a terrible idea. 1 Purdue and No. The Crimson Tide are still undefeated in conference play with marquee conference wins over Houston and Michigan State. ET (TNT), Denver. But will Race Thompson flirt with a double-double or finish with fewer than five points and five rebounds? CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: collegebasketball | pageType: stories | Sporting News Coach of the Year:Texas' Rodney Terry unexpectedly took over as head coach when Chris Beard was fired in January. Another 2023 March Madness matchup to keep an eye on: No. 7 Texas A&M over 10 Penn State Who wins every tournament-defining matchup? 1 seed under Bill Self, Kansas has basically split here, winning five of those first-round games by at least 23. Fewer than that, hail to Pitt. 7 Michigan State vs. No. Max Abmas the hero of the last Sweet 16 run averages 22 points per game and made 117 3-pointers, and 7-foot-5 center Connor Vanover is a matchup problem. Sporting News Player of the Year:Purdue's Zach Edey joins rare company as winner of the award, which includes legends like George Mikan (1945) and Bob Kurland (1946), repeat winners Oscar Robertson (1958-60) and Michael Jordan (1983 and 1984) and Purdue's one previous winner, Glenn Robinson, in 1994. Kennesaw State Wins If: It has improved drastically since December. PRINTABLE: Download a blank March Madness bracket here, 1 Purdue over 16 Texas Southern The lowest seed to win the NCAA Tournament was No. 8 Arkansas over 9 Illinois But the way UCLA plays, this is more likely to be a 70-55 game than an 80-65 game. Kansas and Purdue, the other No. Expanding sports betting legalization has furthered gambling conversations but the NCAA tournament bracket has remained a staple for decades. If you subtract each team's two-point percentage allowed on defense from what it shoots on offense, Alabama is at +13.5%, while A&M-CC is at -5.4%. The March Madness 2023 schedule begins Thursday, so there is not much time left to submit your NCAA Tournament 2023 bracket. 5 Saint Mary's vs. No. I know this sounds odd to say, but if the Cougars get past the Sweet 16, Id expect them to win the Elite Eight, no matter who they play. VCU isn't a small team by any means, but the Rams just barely have a positive rebounding margin for the season. But while make a lot of 3-pointers is a great way to pull off an upset like beating a 2 seed, its tough to use that to predict an Elite Eight run, yknow? Drake Wins If: Norchad Omier is out for Miami. The beauty of the most stunning March Madness Cinderella moments and runs is how they come from absolutely nowhere. Wouldnt shock me to see them in the Elite Eight. But, yeah, the end of the season was just brutal to a Bruins team thats still good. 2 UCLA over 15 Asheville, 1 Kansas over 8 Arkansas 12 VCU over 5 Saint Marys The final four games of Purdue's regular season will be . MEN'S TOURNAMENT: 2023 March Madness schedule, dates, times. 13 Kent State (Midwest Regional), Details: Friday at 9:55 p.m. The 2023 NCAA Tournament is finally upon us. 8 Maryland vs. No. Charleston scored 80.8 points per game and ranked fourth in the nation in total rebounds (40.5). Going the Casey Kasem route and opening it up to the top 40 heading into the Big Dance hasn't steered the FUNK wrong yet, but even lowering the bar to 40 means the end of Gonzaga's consideration. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. So what's the optimal NCAA Tournament 2023 bracket? TSN's MARCH MADNESS HQLive NCAA bracket | TV schedule | Predictor tool. 5 seeds, though. Purdue Wins If: Edey plays. One-Sentence Synopsis: Zach Edey might have his best performance of the entire season against a roster that cannot possibly hang with him. 10 best schools without a Final Four appearance:Who are the best schools that haven't made a Final Four since the 64-team era began in 1984-85? Thats the potential second-round matchup of 2-seed Arizona and 7-seed Mizzou. You can get a printable NCAA Tournament bracket here to fill out before and during tournament play. I've spent most of my waking hours since the selection show poring over these matchups, searching for any and every spot where an underdog might have an advantage or where the predictive analytics/betting lines seem to be missing something significant. Matchup: No. This is not a team that plays with its food. Betting March Madness: Everything you need to know. With the First Four of the 2023 men's NCAA tournament complete, it's officially time to dive into the first-round matchups. The 10-7 games arent really upsets but I like Boise over Northwestern. 1 Kansas over 16 Howard In the nine previous tournaments as a No. Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic odds, field, picks, predictions: Golf ET (TNT), Birmingham. TeamRankings' Tournament Prediction Tool: Use it to identify the highest-probability tournament winners and the most likely NCAA upset picks. They routinely rake on the offensive glass, thrive on second-chance opportunities and grind teams down with their methodical pace. Purdue, meanwhile, has got back on track since its loss to Rutgers on Jan. 2. It knows how to spot an upset as well. 5 San Diego State vs. No. At least on paper, Auburn looked like a contender in late-January, sitting at 16-3 overall. And Washington is the guy most likely to put in said work. Ellis put up 31 in the win over UCLA, 33 against Stanford, 35 against Arizona and another 28 against Arizona State, all in the past seven weeks. March Madness bracket predictions 2023 . Memphis is tough, and that 1v8 game with Purdue should be fun, but unless Zach Edey gets hurt or in foul trouble, Purdues moving on. Sporting News' 2022-23 college basketball All-Americans: SN's Mike DeCourcy names the 15 best players fromthe 2022-23 college basketball season. 1 overall seed Alabama(+800) and defending championKansas (+800) are next in line, followed by Purdue (+1100) to round out the No. No. 3 Xavier vs. No. Furman actually leads the nation in two-point percentage, but the Paladins take nearly half of their shots from three-point range. Here are ourexperts' picks to reach the 2023 Final Four with links to their full bracket analysis. If I Had to Bet on Something: Over 154. 1 seed, but they certainly got a nice draw. I realize the metrics like them but I do not. One-Sentence Synopsis: Unexpected Big East champ takes on always expected America East champ.

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